Chart pattern win rates, honestly

Every major setup's measured base rate on survivorship-free US-stock history — delisted names included, so the odds aren't inflated. Win rate and reward/risk, per horizon. A record, not a prediction.

Post-spike base breakout

A stock surges, bases sideways to digest the move, then breaks the range on volume.

Gap-and-go

A stock gaps up at the open and holds the gap instead of fading.

High relative-volume breakout

A breakout on volume far above the stock's own average (high RVOL).

First green day (bounce)

The first up-close after a sharp multi-day decline — a mean-reversion bounce.

Three white soldiers

Three consecutive strong up-closes — a classic momentum candlestick pattern.

Inside-day breakout

A breakout from a day fully contained within the prior day's range (compression).

52-week-high breakout

A breakout to a new 52-week high — momentum/all-time-high style entry.

Oversold RSI bounce

A bounce when the 14-day RSI drops into oversold territory (below 30).

Educational data. Historical base rates do not predict future results; nothing here recommends buying or selling any security.